Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.953526 1.195253 1.463337 1.779774 2.140163 2.535053 2.997648
2025-06-22 0.637286 0.952573 1.341740 1.844049 2.462051 3.185125 4.082441
2025-06-29 0.421865 0.759548 1.223387 1.873124 2.726854 3.779710 5.145044
2025-07-06 0.263053 0.585369 1.081703 1.835060 2.886577 4.244280 6.071040
2025-07-13 0.172887 0.478501 1.003789 1.859760 3.116198 4.799010 7.128496
2025-07-20 0.111420 0.392485 0.933311 1.876033 3.323968 5.325857 8.164340
2025-07-27 0.063990 0.305905 0.836495 1.830356 3.428619 5.708163 9.015288
2025-08-03 0.034474 0.238085 0.752463 1.787043 3.524206 6.072908 9.846584
2025-08-10 0.019111 0.195773 0.705880 1.797417 3.697118 6.548569 10.839034
2025-08-17 0.008103 0.149533 0.633363 1.746135 3.761636 6.862527 11.608906
2025-08-24 0.004442 0.133327 0.628911 1.822558 4.038249 7.498088 12.847853
2025-08-31 0.001606 0.109167 0.593464 1.830063 4.195406 7.955253 13.839173
2025-09-07 0.000774 0.102623 0.609477 1.949821 4.558798 8.748406 15.349677
2025-09-14 0.000206 0.090618 0.603745 2.021760 4.841697 9.426261 16.709092
2025-09-21 0.000011 0.075923 0.582023 2.054547 5.055030 10.000855 17.928989
2025-09-28 NaN 0.056991 0.532603 2.014902 5.131457 10.358897 18.833712
2025-10-05 NaN 0.046791 0.512586 2.041704 5.331044 10.917588 20.047424
2025-10-12 NaN 0.037655 0.490575 2.059292 5.511946 11.448472 21.226508
2025-10-19 NaN 0.026544 0.446267 2.010713 5.559775 11.760436 22.076873
2025-10-26 NaN 0.018146 0.406034 1.964569 5.607064 12.069890 22.926264
2025-11-02 NaN 0.013696 0.387344 1.975669 5.768829 12.573459 24.081858
2025-11-09 NaN 0.008464 0.349158 1.920953 5.790279 12.837926 24.868628
2025-11-16 NaN 0.007458 0.354697 2.002512 6.100514 13.602399 26.447742